Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.229374 0.271434 0.316350 0.367609 0.424211 0.484540 0.553435
2024-10-20 0.168902 0.224551 0.288399 0.365957 0.456523 0.557898 0.678904
2024-10-27 0.131616 0.195733 0.274358 0.375219 0.498584 0.642136 0.819357
2024-11-03 0.104800 0.174081 0.264597 0.386560 0.541809 0.728373 0.965015
2024-11-10 0.084216 0.156289 0.256405 0.397534 0.583618 0.813475 1.111679
2024-11-17 0.063313 0.133448 0.237697 0.391781 0.602297 0.869437 1.223572
2024-11-24 0.050000 0.119100 0.228434 0.396889 0.634061 0.941774 1.356855
2024-12-01 0.037306 0.102484 0.213068 0.391135 0.649693 0.992681 1.463320
2024-12-08 0.026003 0.084907 0.193206 0.376177 0.650595 1.022986 1.542820
2024-12-15 0.020665 0.077663 0.189167 0.384319 0.683820 1.096719 1.679912
2024-12-22 0.014565 0.066306 0.175976 0.376426 0.692619 1.136655 1.772383
2024-12-29 0.012347 0.063876 0.178780 0.394380 0.740020 1.230631 1.938512
2025-01-05 0.008883 0.056464 0.171083 0.394554 0.761175 1.289450 2.059941
2025-01-12 0.006359 0.050416 0.165062 0.396889 0.785429 1.352999 2.188873
2025-01-19 0.004925 0.047327 0.164805 0.409193 0.825485 1.439855 2.351191
2025-01-26 0.003832 0.044809 0.165357 0.422780 0.867761 1.530514 2.519919
2025-02-02 0.002916 0.042298 0.165478 0.435404 0.908682 1.619800 2.687882
2025-02-09 0.001723 0.036508 0.156461 0.429866 0.919505 1.664760 2.794075
2025-02-16 0.001120 0.033364 0.153515 0.435660 0.948940 1.737575 2.940313
2025-02-23 0.000552 0.028614 0.145108 0.429745 0.958225 1.780090 3.043777
2025-03-02 0.000170 0.023004 0.132535 0.413923 0.949594 1.794874 3.107283
2025-03-09 0.000079 0.021366 0.131735 0.422685 0.983549 1.874992 3.265705
2025-03-16 0.000010 0.017774 0.123400 0.414311 0.986890 1.907785 3.355662